Premier League predictions, odds and best bets: Liverpool overcome Man City – Sky Sports

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Football Journalist
Saturday 22 February 2025 14:49, UK
Our betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the Premier League weekend and fresh from tipping Brentford, he shares his best angles.
Arsenal have got to keep winning.
Performances haven’t been great but they are 15 unbeaten in the Premier League, winning 10 of those without getting close to shooting the lights out. But it’s that mean Arsenal defence, led by Gabriel and William Saliba, that remains the one consistent theme.
They’ve conceded just 11 goals in their last 15 games. If they are going to chase down Liverpool, it’s going to be built on their defensive prowess. In a tough betting heat, the Arsenal win to nil remains the way to play at 10/11 with Sky Bet.
Matheus Cunha is all-action in this Wolves side under Vitor Pereira, dropping a bit deeper under his watch, and his tackle prices are full of potential. He’s made two or more tackles in six of his eight starts under the new gaffer, registering 18 tackles in total.
Bournemouth’s style lends itself to tackle frenzies in central areas with Tyler Adams and Ryan Christie encouraged to engage the opposition at every opportunity. Cunha will be patrolling those areas, which makes the 10/11 with Sky Bet for him to make two or more tackles rate as a juicy value play.
Fulham have kept only two clean sheets in their last 14 games and have failed to deliver at home against Manchester United, Ipswich, Southampton, Wolves and Brentford this season. Marco Silva is overseeing some fantastic performances but a lack of quality in their forward line is holding them back.
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If Fulham had a player like Jean-Philippe Mateta then Champions League qualification would be a realistic possibility. He remains in the form of his life, scoring seven in his last six appearances in the Premier League and his all-round play is of the highest standard. The 9/2 with Sky Bet on him to open the scoring has potential in a really tight game to call.
Djed Spence is taking his opportunity for Tottenham, winning the player-of-the-match award in their victory over Manchester United. His performances are catching the eye, especially from a punting perspective where the prices surrounding his ability to win fouls are very much in our favour.
He is 11/8 with Sky Bet to be fouled two or more times – a bet which has landed for punters in seven of his last eight starts. Ange Postecoglou likes his full-backs to drive into central areas of the pitch and that tends to lead to fouls being drawn. He can go in again.
Southampton are going down but they are going down with a tinge of fight and attacking intent. There were signs at 2-1 down to Bournemouth last weekend where they had the Cherries on the ropes with Paul Onuachu, Tyler Dibling and Kamaldeen Sulemana looking like an exciting trio.
It’s very unlikely they’ll be able to sustain that type of threat to get a result against Brighton but they’ll have spells in the game to put the Seagulls under pressure. Sulemana, especially, looks a dangerous customer when given space. He’s had 15 shots in his four recent starts, hitting the target five times. The 10/11 with Sky Bet for another shot on target makes a lot sense.
Aston Villa have lost just five of their last 44 home games since the start of last season and are unbeaten in their last 13 at home in the Premier League – that alone makes their win price here of 8/5 with Sky Bet very attractive.
Enzo Maresca must find a solution to Chelsea’s problems in the final third where they are already showing signs of missing Nicolas Jackson. They failed to have a shot on target at Brighton and they averaged a huge figure of 92 passes per shot – the second-worst ratio by any team in a Premier League game this season. Passing without purpose.
After threatening to make some noise in the title race in December, Chelsea have since won just two of their last nine Premier League games. There could be more frustration to come.
Newcastle’s performance at Manchester City did stink of a team that have subconsciously got one eye already on their trip to Wembley in March. I’m always wary of a drop off from a team away from the elite that make a cup final.
Just looking at the last six non big-six teams to make the EFL Cup final and their results between their win in the second leg and the final does show a correlation of form loss.
In those 24 games, the clubs involved suffered 12 losses, five draws and just seven wins. Newcastle are included in that sample of clubs when they made the Carabao Cup final in 2023 – they were winless in their next three matches following their semi-final win, drawing to West Ham and Bournemouth and losing to Liverpool. They are vulnerable here.
Nottingham Forest are on course to take 71 points this season and Opta have them with about a 65 per cent chance of finishing in the top five which would be enough for Champions League qualification. It’s easy to forget they won 3-1 here last season when battling relegation and they’re a much better side now.
I like them to avoid defeat on the double chance at Evens with Sky Bet.
Man City have been the hand that has been feeding me this season, but they’ve given me a couple of slaps in the face over the last week. I was all over Newcastle to get a result at the Etihad last week and was stunned at how cohesive, dangerous and watertight out of possession Man City looked. It did make me sit up and take note. Were they back?
But that answer is a resounding no based on their midweek showing in Real Madrid. They were so lacklustre again and lacked intensity without possession. Madrid were just toying with them.
So what do we do now with City?
Real Madrid were well backed on Wednesday in the end by the sharp money that makes the market, so any move for Liverpool here should be taken seriously. The 5/4 with Sky Bet for the away win is certainly a price to keep a close eye on.
1pt treble: Brentford to beat Leicester, Djed Spence to be fouled at least twice, Nottingham Forest double chance (9/1 with Sky Bet)
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